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David Longdon
 David Longdon
(@motion8social)
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Joined: 3 years ago
Posts: 226
Topic starter January 12, 2021 3:24 pm  

The "sunk cost" effect, a false sense of confidence, and fading backcountry skills may all explain why

Probably more significant in terms of the study’s results, says Carpenter, is the idea that people in their thirties and forties are likely a few years or more removed from their formal avalanche training. Their skills may be a little rusty or less up-to-date. Furthermore, she says, because avalanches are rare and unpredictable, “we don’t always get good feedback from our decision-making. It’s hard to know if we made a good decision or just got away with a bad one.” That can create a false sense of confidence.


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