Probably more significant in terms of the study’s results, says Carpenter, is the idea that people in their thirties and forties are likely a few years or more removed from their formal avalanche training. Their skills may be a little rusty or less up-to-date. Furthermore, she says, because avalanches are rare and unpredictable, “we don’t always get good feedback from our decision-making. It’s hard to know if we made a good decision or just got away with a bad one.” That can create a false sense of confidence.
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